Author:
Mile Bošnjak Department of International Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, Trg J. F. Kennedyja 6, 10 000 Zagreb, Croatia

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Abstract

The research examines the sustainability of trade flows for two European post-communist economies: Serbia and Romania. We analysed two nonlinear forms of the relationship between exports and imports that cannot be explained by frequently applied linear model specifications. Newly developed nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approach revealed the asymmetric and nonlinear long-run equilibrium between Serbian exports and imports. Nonlinearity tests indicated and the SETAR model specification confirmed threshold nonlinearity form in the Serbian trade flows pattern. Serbian trade flows still approach its sustainable equilibrium but the development pattern is promising. The results for Romania revealed another nonlinear form of the relationship between exports and imports, indicating a dependent cointegration. The paper provides robust results and supports the hypothesis that the relationship between exports and imports can be nonlinear and symmetric.

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  • Antwi-Boateng, C. (2015): Is Ghana Achieving Sustainable Trade Balance in the Participation of International Trade? Time Series Assessment for Ghana. Available from: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/67268/1/MPRA_paper_67268.pdf(accessed: March 8, 2018).

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  • Malović, M. (2008): On Balance of Payments Crisis in Serbia: If it Ain’t Broken, why Fixing it might still be a Good Idea? Economic Analysis, 41(1–2): 2547.

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  • Zaman, G.Georgescu, G. (2015): Romania’s External Debt Sustainability under Crisis Circumstances. Romanian Journal of Economics, 30(1): 538.

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  • Zaman, G. (2014): Impact of Foreign Trade on Romania’s Economic Sustainability During the Pre- and Post-Accession Periods. Procedia Economics and Finance, 8: 747754.

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Senior editors

Editors-in-Chief: István P. Székely, Dóra Győrffy

Editor(s): Judit Kálmán

Associate Editors

  • Péter Benczúr, Joint Joint Research Center, European Commission
  • Dóra Benedek, International Monetary Fund
  • Balázs Égert, OECD
  • Dániel Prinz, World Bank
  • Rok Spruk, University of Ljubljana, School of Economics and Business, Slovenia

Editorial Board

  • Anders Åslund, Georgetown University and Advisory Council of CASE, USA
  • István Benczes, Corvinus University of Budapest, Hungary 
  • Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
  • Fabrizio Coricelli, University of Siena, Italy
  • László Csaba, Corvinus University of Budapest, Hungary and Central European University, Austria
  • Beáta Farkas, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Szeged, Hungary
  • Péter Halmai, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, and National University of Public Service, Hungary
  • Martin Kahanec, Central European University, Austria
  • Michael Landesmann, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (WIIW), Austria
  • Péter Mihályi, Corvinus University of Budapest, Hungary
  • Debora Revoltella, European Investment Bank

Corvinus University of Budapest
Department of Economics
Fővám tér 8 Budapest, H-1093, Hungary
E-mail: judit.kalman@uni-corvinus.hu

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2023  
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Rank by Impact Factor Q3 (Economics)
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CiteScore rank Q3 (Economics and Econometrics)
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Acta Oeconomica
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Acta Oeconomica
Language English
Size B5
Year of
Foundation
1966
Volumes
per Year
1
Issues
per Year
4
Founder Magyar Tudományos Akadémia
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Address
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ISSN 0001-6373 (Print)
ISSN 1588-2659 (Online)

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