Authors:
S. M. Stankov German Aerospace Centre -- Institute of Communications and Navigation D-17235 Neustrelitz, Germany

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I. S. Kutiev Geophysical Institute, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences BG-1113 Sofia, Bulgaria

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N. Jakowski German Aerospace Centre -- Institute of Communications and Navigation D-17235 Neustrelitz, Germany

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A. Wehrenpfennig German Aerospace Centre -- Institute of Communications and Navigation D-17235 Neustrelitz, Germany

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The GPS-derived TEC has proved to be a robust characteristic representing well the state of the Earth's ionosphere-plasmasphere system during both quiet and disturbed geomagnetic conditions. Successfully forecasting the TEC value can prove invaluable when trying to improve the communications, navigation, and surveying practices. Presented is a new forecasting method based on  auto-correlation analysis and consisting of two major parts - first, extrapolation of the TEC monthly medians using Fourier series approximation, and second, geomagnetically-correlated forecast of the TEC relative deviations of from its median value. Preliminary tests show a good agreement between measured and predicted median values. Presented are also important investigations related to the short-term forecast.

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Acta Geodaetica et Geophysica
Language English
Size B5
Year of
Foundation
2013
Volumes
per Year
1
Issues
per Year
4
Founder Magyar Tudományos Akadémia
Founder's
Address
H-1051 Budapest, Hungary, Széchenyi István tér 9.
Publisher Akadémiai Kiadó Springer
Nature Switzerland AG
Publisher's
Address
H-1117 Budapest, Hungary 1516 Budapest, PO Box 245.
CH-6330 Cham, Switzerland Gewerbestrasse 11.
Responsible
Publisher
Chief Executive Officer, Akadémiai Kiadó
ISSN 2213-5812 (Print)
ISSN 2213-5820 (Online)

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