A stochastic model for the ageing of scientific literature

W. Glänzel; U. Schoepflin

doi:10.1007/bf02017212

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Scientometrics

Volume/Issue:: Volume 30: Issue 1

A stochastic model for the ageing of scientific literature

Authors:

W. Glänzel

W. Glänzel

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U. Schoepflin

U. Schoepflin Max-Planck Institute for Human Development and Education Lentzeallee 94 D-14195 Berlin (Germany) Lentzeallee 94 D-14195 Berlin (Germany)

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Pages:: 49–64

Online Publication Date:: 13 Aug 2005

Publication Date:: 26 May 1994

Article Category:: Research Article

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1007/bf02017212

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Abstract

A non-homogeneous birth process is used to describe the statistical properties of bibliometric citation processes. The model is analysed under special assumptions. Thelife-time distribution, special probabilities and mean value functions are used to characterize differences in the ageing structure of scientific literature, the change of citation impact in time and to analyse predictive aspects of reception processes. The results are applied to selected journals representing one field in science and social science each. The empirical part of the study is based on a 14-year citation history (papers published in 1978 and cited 1978–1991). An intimate, connection between impact and ageing cannot be observed. However, the ageing behaviour seems to be clearly influenced by field characteristics and by special document/journal types, such as letters and short communications.

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Scientometrics

Print ISSN:: 0138-9130

Online ISSN:: 1588-2861

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Scientometrics
Language	English
Size	B5
Year of Foundation	1978
Volumes per Year	1
Issues per Year	12
Founder	Akadémiai Kiadó
Founder's Address	H-1117 Budapest, Hungary 1516 Budapest, PO Box 245.
Publisher	Akadémiai Kiadó Springer Nature Switzerland AG
Publisher's Address	H-1117 Budapest, Hungary 1516 Budapest, PO Box 245. CH-6330 Cham, Switzerland Gewerbestrasse 11.
Responsible Publisher	Chief Executive Officer, Akadémiai Kiadó
ISSN	0138-9130 (Print)
ISSN	1588-2861 (Online)