A new literature growth model: Variable exponential growth law of literature

Yi Su; Li-Feng Han

doi:10.1007/bf02458359

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Scientometrics

Volume/Issue:: Volume 42: Issue 2

A new literature growth model: Variable exponential growth law of literature

Authors: Yi Su¹ and Li-Feng Han¹

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¹ Nankai University Department of Information Resources Management 300071 Tianjin (China) 300071 Tianjin (China)

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1007/bf02458359

Page Count:: 259–265

Publication Date:: 01 Jun 1998

Online Publication Date:: 26 Jul 2006

Article Category:: Research Article

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Abstract

This article derives a “literature variable exponential growth model” from Price's literature growth modelF(t)=ae^bt. The method is replacingbt by a polynomial of degreen-1. Our research shows that the new model is more convincing than the former ones. Detailed calculation procedure, examples, parameter values and mean square errors are given.