Abstract
We show that scientific production can be described by two variables: rate of production (rateof publications) and career duration. For 19th century physicists, we show that the time pattern ofproduction is random and Poisson distributed, contrary to the theory of cumulative advantage. Weshow that the exponential distribution provides excellent goodness-of-fit to rate of production andcareer duration. The good fits to these distributions can be explained naturally from the statisticsof exceedances. Thus, more powerful statistical tests and a better theoretical foundation isobtained for rate of production and career duration than has been the case for Lotka's Law.
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| Scientometrics | |
|---|---|
| Language | English |
| Size | B5 |
| Year of Foundation |
1978 |
| Volumes per Year |
1 |
| Issues per Year |
12 |
| Founder | Akadémiai Kiadó |
| Founder's Address |
H-1117 Budapest, Hungary 1516 Budapest, PO Box 245. |
| Publisher | Akadémiai Kiadó Springer Nature Switzerland AG |
| Publisher's Address |
H-1117 Budapest, Hungary 1516 Budapest, PO Box 245. CH-6330 Cham, Switzerland Gewerbestrasse 11. |
| Responsible Publisher |
Chief Executive Officer, Akadémiai Kiadó |
| ISSN | 0138-9130 (Print) |
| ISSN | 1588-2861 (Online) |
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Copyright Akadémiai Kiadó AKJournals is the trademark of Akadémiai Kiadó's journal publishing business branch.
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