Testing bibliometric indicators by their prediction of scientists promotions

Pablo Jensen; Jean-Baptiste Rouquier; Yves Croissant

doi:10.1007/s11192-007-2014-3

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Scientometrics

Volume/Issue:: Volume 78: Issue 3

Testing bibliometric indicators by their prediction of scientists promotions

Authors:

Pablo Jensen

Pablo Jensen

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Jean-Baptiste Rouquier

Jean-Baptiste Rouquier

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Yves Croissant

Yves Croissant

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Pages:: 467–479

Online Publication Date:: 13 Oct 2008

Publication Date:: 01 Mar 2009

Article Category:: Research Article

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-007-2014-3

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Abstract

We have developed a method to obtain robust quantitative bibliometric indicators for several thousand scientists. This allows us to study the dependence of bibliometric indicators (such as number of publications, number of citations, Hirsch index...) on the age, position, etc. of CNRS scientists. Our data suggests that the normalized h-index (h divided by the career length) is not constant for scientists with the same productivity but different ages. We also compare the predictions of several bibliometric indicators on the promotions of about 600 CNRS researchers. Contrary to previous publications, our study encompasses most disciplines, and shows that no single indicator is the best predictor for all disciplines. Overall, however, the Hirsch index h provides the least bad correlations, followed by the number of papers published. It is important to realize however that even h is able to recover only half of the actual promotions. The number of citations or the mean number of citations per paper are definitely not good predictors of promotion. Due to space constraints, this paper is a short version of a more detailed article. [JENSEN & AL., 2008B]

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Scientometrics

Print ISSN:: 0138-9130

Online ISSN:: 1588-2861

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Scientometrics
Language	English
Size	B5
Year of Foundation	1978
Volumes per Year	1
Issues per Year	12
Founder	Akadémiai Kiadó
Founder's Address	H-1117 Budapest, Hungary 1516 Budapest, PO Box 245.
Publisher	Akadémiai Kiadó Springer Nature Switzerland AG
Publisher's Address	H-1117 Budapest, Hungary 1516 Budapest, PO Box 245. CH-6330 Cham, Switzerland Gewerbestrasse 11.
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ISSN	0138-9130 (Print)
ISSN	1588-2861 (Online)