Scientometrics
Volume/Issue:
Volume 91: Issue 2
A study of scientometric methods to identify emerging technologies via modeling of milestones
Authors: Robert K. Abercrombie 1 , Akaninyene W. Udoeyop 2 , and Bob G. Schlicher 1
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  • 1 Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational Sciences and Engineering, Oak Ridge, TN 37831-6085, USA audoeyop@cisco.com
  • | 2 Cisco Systems, Advanced Security Initiatives Group, 10860 Murdock Drive, Knoxville, TN 37932-3232, USA schlicherbg@ornl.gov
Pages:
327–342
Online Publication Date:
11 Jan 2012
Publication Date:
01 May 2012
Article Category:
Research Article
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-011-0614-4
Keywords:
Knowledge exchange; Emerging technologies identification; Technology life cycle modeling; Scholarly publications and citations; Patents; News archives; On-line mapping networks; Normalization of disparate data sets
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Abstract

This work examines a scientometric model that tracks the emergence of an identified technology from initial discovery (via original scientific and conference literature), through critical discoveries (via original scientific, conference literature and patents), transitioning through Technology Readiness Levels (TRLs) and ultimately on to commercial application. During the period of innovation and technology transfer, the impact of scholarly works, patents and on-line web news sources are identified. As trends develop, currency of citations, collaboration indicators, and on-line news patterns are identified. The combinations of four distinct and separate searchable on-line networked sources (i.e., scholarly publications and citation, patents, news archives, and on-line mapping networks) are assembled to become one collective network (a dataset for analysis of relations). This established network becomes the basis from which to quickly analyze the temporal flow of activity (searchable events) for the example subject domain we investigated.

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Cover Scientometrics
Scientometrics
Print ISSN:
0138-9130
Online ISSN:
1588-2861

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Scientometrics
Language English
Size B5
Year of
Foundation		 1978
Volumes
per Year		 1
Issues
per Year		 12
Founder Akadémiai Kiadó
Founder's
Address		 H-1117 Budapest, Hungary 1516 Budapest, PO Box 245.
Publisher Akadémiai Kiadó
Springer Nature Switzerland AG
Publisher's
Address		 H-1117 Budapest, Hungary 1516 Budapest, PO Box 245.
CH-6330 Cham, Switzerland Gewerbestrasse 11.
Responsible
Publisher		 Chief Executive Officer, Akadémiai Kiadó
ISSN 0138-9130 (Print)
ISSN 1588-2861 (Online)

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