The correct modelling of long- and short-term seasonality is a very interesting issue. The choice between the deterministic and stochastic modelling of trend and seasonality and their implications are as relevant as the case of deterministic and stochastic trends itself. The study considers the special case when the stochastic trend and seasonality do not evolve independently and the usual differencing filters do not apply. The results are applied to the day-ahead (spot) trading data of some main European energy exchanges (power and natural gas).
Boswijk, H. P. — Franses, P. H. (1996): Unit Roots in Periodic Autorregressions. Journal of Time Series Analysis 17: 221–245.
Franses P. H. , 'Unit Roots in Periodic Autorregressions ' (1996 ) 17 Journal of Time Series Analysis : 221 -245 .
Box, G. E. P. — Jenkins, G. M. (1970): Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. San Francisco: Holden Day.
Jenkins G. M. , '', in Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control , (1970 ) -.
Burger, M. — Klar, B. — Müller, A. — Schindlmayr, G. (2004): A Spot Market Model for Pricing Derivatives in Electricity Markets. Journal of Quantitive Finance 4(1): 109–122.
Schindlmayr G. , 'A Spot Market Model for Pricing Derivatives in Electricity Markets ' (2004 ) 4 Journal of Quantitive Finance : 109 -122 .
Clements, M. P. — Hendry, D. F. (1997): An Empirical Study of Seasonal Unit Roots in Forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting 13(3): 341–355.
Hendry D. F. , 'An Empirical Study of Seasonal Unit Roots in Forecasting ' (1997 ) 13 International Journal of Forecasting : 341 -355 .
Darbar, M. S. — Deb, P. (1995): Does Trading Volume Have a Unit Root? Applied Economics Letters 2(5): 144–147.
Deb P. , 'Does Trading Volume Have a Unit Root ' (1995 ) 2 Applied Economics Letters : 144 -147 .
Franses, P. H. (1996): Periodicity and Stochastic Trends In Economic Time Series. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Franses P. H. , '', in Periodicity and Stochastic Trends In Economic Time Series , (1996 ) -.
Franses, P. H. (1998): Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Franses P. H. , '', in Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting , (1998 ) -.
Franses, P. H. — Paap, R. (1996): Periodic Integration: Further Results on Model Selection and Forecasting. Statistical Papers (37): 33–52.
Paap R. , 'Periodic Integration: Further Results on Model Selection and Forecasting ' (1996 ) 37 Statistical Papers : 33 -52 .
Fuller, W. A. (1976): Introduction to Statistical Time Series. New York: Wiley.
Fuller W. A. , '', in Introduction to Statistical Time Series , (1976 ) -.
Heather, P. (2012): Continental European Gas Hubs: Are They Fit for Purpose? Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.
Heather P. , '', in Continental European Gas Hubs: Are They Fit for Purpose , (2012 ) -.
Hylleberg, S. — Engle, R. F. — Granger, C. W. J. — Yoo, B. S. (1990): Seasonal Integration and Cointegration. Journal of Econometrics 44: 215–238.
Yoo B. S. , 'Seasonal Integration and Cointegration ' (1990 ) 44 Journal of Econometrics : 215 -238 .
Lieli, R. (1999): Az idõsormodelleken alapuló inflációs elõrejelzések: egyváltozós módszerek [Inflation Forecasts Based on Time Series Models — Single Variable Methods]. MNB füzetek 1999(4): 1–68.
Lieli R. , 'Az idõsormodelleken alapuló inflációs elõrejelzések: egyváltozós módszerek [Inflation Forecasts Based on Time Series Models — Single Variable Methods] ' (1999 ) 1999 MNB füzetek : 1 -68 .
Lobato, I. N. — Velasco, C. (2000): Long Memory in Stock-Market Trading Volume. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 18(4): 410–427.
Velasco C. , 'Long Memory in Stock-Market Trading Volume ' (2000 ) 18 Journal of Business and Economic Statistics : 410 -427 .
Mák, F. (2011): Egységgyöktesztek alkalmazása strukturális törések mellett a hazai benzinár példáján [Unit Root Tests with Structural Breaks — The Hungarian Example of Petrol Prices]. Statisztikai Szemle 89(5): 545–573.
Mák F. , 'Egységgyöktesztek alkalmazása strukturális törések mellett a hazai benzinár példáján [Unit Root Tests with Structural Breaks — The Hungarian Example of Petrol Prices] ' (2011 ) 89 Statisztikai Szemle : 545 -573 .
Marossy, Z. (2010): A spot villamosenergia árak elemzése statisztikai és ökonofizikai eszközökkel [Analysis of spot electricity prices using statistical and econophysical methods]. Ph.D. dissertation, Corvinus University of Budapest.
Marossy Z. , '', in A spot villamosenergia árak elemzése statisztikai és ökonofizikai eszközökkel [Analysis of spot electricity prices using statistical and econophysical methods] , (2010 ) -.
Osterwald-Lenum, M. (1992): A Note with Quantiles of the Asymptotic Distribution of the Maximum Likelihood Cointegration Rank Test Statistics: Four Cases. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (54): 461–472.
Osterwald-Lenum M. , 'A Note with Quantiles of the Asymptotic Distribution of the Maximum Likelihood Cointegration Rank Test Statistics: Four Cases ' (1992 ) 54 Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics : 461 -472 .
Sugár, A. (1999a): Szezonális kiigazítási eljárások (I.) [Seasonal Adjusment Methods (I.)]. Statisztikai Szemle 77(9): 705–721.
Sugár A. , 'Szezonális kiigazítási eljárások (I.) [Seasonal Adjusment Methods (I.)] ' (1999 ) 77 Statisztikai Szemle : 705 -721 .
Sugár, A. (1999b): Szezonális kiigazítási eljárások (II.) [Seasonal Adjustment Methods (II.)]. Statisztikai Szemle 77(10–11): 816–832.
Sugár A. , 'Szezonális kiigazítási eljárások (II.) [Seasonal Adjustment Methods (II.)] ' (1999 ) 77 Statisztikai Szemle : 816 -832 .