Authors:
Zuzana Sabová Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Slovak University of Technology in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovak Republic

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Silvia Kohnová Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Slovak University of Technology in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovak Republic

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Abstract

This study evaluates future hydrological alterations caused by climatic changes until 2100 using climate change scenarios. The indicators of hydrologic alteration software program assess predicted changes in flow characteristics and the degree of hydrological alteration obtained through a range of variability approach analysis. The study was performed on the Hron River basin in Slovakia, using the daily discharges from the observation period of 1981–2010 and a modelled scenario of daily discharges until 2100. The time period investigated was divided into three periods among which four ranges of variability approach analysis were conducted. The study results presented assume an increased incidence of drought in the summer months. In the winter months, the period of increased flows is expected to intensify.

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    M. Trnka , J. E. Olesen , K. C. Kersebaum , A. O. Skjelvág , J. Eitzinger , B. Seguin , P. Peltonen-Sainio , R. Rotter , A. Iglesias , S. Orlandini , M. Dubrovský , P. Hlavinka , J. Balek , H. Eckersten , E. Cloppet , P. Calanca , A. Gobin , V. Vučetinič , P. Nejedlik . S. Kumar , B. Lalic , A. Mestre , F. Rossi , J. Kozyra , V. Alexandrov . D. Semerádová , and Z. Žalud , “Agroclimatic conditions in Europe under climate change,” Glob. Change Biol., vol. 17, no. 7, pp. 22982318, 2011.

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    C. Yu , X. Yin , and Z. Yang , “A revised range of variability approach for the comprehensive assessment of the alteration of flow regime,” Ecol. Eng., vol. 96, pp. 200207, 2016.

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    J. T. Shiau and F. C. Wu , “Pareto-optimal solutions for environmental flow schemes incorporating the intra-annual and interannual variability of the natural flow regime,” Water Resour. Res. , vol. 43, no. 6, 2007, Paper no. W06433.

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    B. D. Richter , J. V. Baumgartner , D. P. Braun , and J. Powell , “A spatial assessment of hydrological alteration within a river network,” Regul. Rivers Res. Manage., vol. 14, pp. 329340, 1998.

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    A. Bradford , R. Noor , and H. Whiteley , “Ecological flow assessment for Hanlon Creek, Ontario: Use of synthesized flows with range of variability approach,” Can. Water Resour. J., vol. 32, no. 2, pp. 111128, 2007.

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    Y. Sun , C. Liu , Y. Zhao , X. Mao , J. Zhang , and H. Liu , “Is it optimal to use the entirety of the available flow records in the range of variability approach?Water, vol. 12, no. 11, 2020, Paper no. 3280.

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    M. Aleksić , P. Sleziak , and K. Hlavčová , “Parametrization of the rainfall-runoff model in changing climate,” Pollack Period., vol. 16, no. 3, pp. 6469, 2021.

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  • [8]

    Z. Németová , S. Kohnová , and R. Marková , “Comparison of two approaches for an estimation of the mean annual flood at ungauged sites in Slovakia,” Pollack Period., vol. 15, no. 2, pp. 130141, 2020.

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    J. T. Shiau and F. C. Wu , “A histogram matching approach for assessment of flow regime alteration: application to environmental flow optimization,” River Res. Appl., vol. 24, no. 7, pp. 914928, 2008.

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    Q. Zuo and S. Liang , “Effects of dams on river flow regime based on IHA/RVA,” in Proceedings RSHS14 and ICGRHWE14, Guangzhou, China, August, 2014, pp. 275280.

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  • [11]

    X. Zheng , T. Yang , T. Cui , C. Xu , X. Zhou , Z. Li , P. Shi , and Y. Qin , “A revised range of variability approach considering the morphological alteration of hydrological indicators,” Stoch. Environ. Res. Rick Assess., vol. 35, pp. 17831803, 2021.

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    P. Yang , X. A. Yin , Z. F. Yang , and J. Tang , “A revised range of variability approach considering the periodicity of hydrological indicators,” Hydrol. Process., vol. 28, no. 26, pp. 62226235, 2014.

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    D. Halmová , P. Pekárová , and I. Meszároš , “Low flow change analysis in selected gauging stations on the Danube River,” Acta Hydrol. Slovaca, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 286295, 2011.

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    B. Pramuk , P. Pekárová , P. Škoda , D. Halmová , and V. Mitková , “Identification of the Slovak Rivers daily discharge regime changes,” Acta Hydrol. Slovaca, vol. 17, no. 1, pp. 6577, 2016.

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  • [15]

    Z. Sabová , “Analysis of the changes in characteristics of the average monthly and minimum discharges using the MPI and KNMI climate scenarios in the Myjava River basin(in Slovak), in 24rd Annual PhD Student Conference on Advances in Architectural, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Bratislava, Slovakia, October 13, 2021, pp. 593598.

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  • [16]

    Z. Sabová and D. Skoncová , “Analysis of scenario changes in the characteristics of average monthly and minimum discharges until 2100 in the upper Hron River basin(in Slovak), in Proceedings of the 33rd Conference of Young Hydrologists, 20th Conference of Young Water Managers, 22nd Conference of Young Meteorologists, Climatologists and Air Quality Experts, Bratislava, Slovakia, November 11, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://kmo.shmu.sk/. Accessed: Dec. 21, 2021.

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  • [17]

    P. Rončák , K. Hlavčová , S. Kohnová , and J. Szolgay , “Changes in design discharges in selected catchments in Slovakia in future(in Slovak), Acta Hydrol. Slovaca, vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 174182, 2017.

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    Indicators of hydrologic alteration, Version 7.1, User's manual,” The Nature Conservancy, 2009.

  • [19]

    D. Szatten , M. Habel , and Z. Babiński , “Influence of hydrologic alteration on sediment, dissolved load and nutrient downstream transfer continuity in a river: Example Lower Brda River Cascade Dams (Poland),” Resources, vol. 10, no. 7, 2021, Paper no. 70.

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  • [20]

    A. Blahušiaková and M. Matoušková , “Evaluation of the hydroclimatic extremes in the upper Hron River basin, Slovakia,” AUC Geographica, vol. 51, no. 2, pp. 189204, 2016.

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  • Bálint Bachmann (Institute of Architecture, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Pécs, Hungary)
  • Jeno Balogh (Department of Civil Engineering Technology, Metropolitan State University of Denver, Denver, Colorado, USA)
  • Radu Bancila (Department of Geotechnical Engineering and Terrestrial Communications Ways, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture, “Politehnica” University Timisoara, Romania)
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  • Anikó Borbála Csébfalvi (Department of Civil Engineering, Institute of Smart Technology and Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Pécs, Hungary)
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  • Stanislav Kmeť (President of University Science Park TECHNICOM, Technical University of Kosice, Slovakia)
  • Imre Kocsis  (Department of Basic Engineering Research, Faculty of Engineering, University of Debrecen, Hungary)
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  • Balázs Géza Kövesdi (Department of Structural Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Budapest University of Engineering and Economics, Budapest, Hungary)
  • Tomáš Krejčí (Department of Mechanics, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Czech Technical University in Prague, Czech Republic)
  • Jaroslav Kruis (Department of Mechanics, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Czech Technical University in Prague, Czech Republic)
  • Miklós Kuczmann (Department of Automations, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Informatics and Electrical Engineering, Széchenyi István University, Győr, Hungary)
  • Tibor Kukai (Department of Engineering Studies, Institute of Smart Technology and Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Pécs, Hungary)
  • Maria Jesus Lamela-Rey (Departamento de Construcción e Ingeniería de Fabricación, University of Oviedo, Spain)
  • János Lógó  (Department of Structural Mechanics, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Hungary)
  • Carmen Mihaela Lungoci (Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Universitatea Transilvania Brasov, Romania)
  • Frédéric Magoulés (Department of Mathematics and Informatics for Complex Systems, Centrale Supélec, Université Paris Saclay, France)
  • Gabriella Medvegy (Department of Interior, Applied and Creative Design, Institute of Architecture, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Pécs, Hungary)
  • Tamás Molnár (Department of Visual Studies, Institute of Architecture, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Pécs, Hungary)
  • Ferenc Orbán (Department of Mechanical Engineering, Institute of Smart Technology and Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Pécs, Hungary)
  • Zoltán Orbán (Department of Civil Engineering, Institute of Smart Technology and Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Pécs, Hungary)
  • Dmitrii Rachinskii (Department of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Texas at Dallas, Texas, USA)
  • Chro Radha (Chro Ali Hamaradha) (Sulaimani Polytechnic University, Technical College of Engineering, Department of City Planning, Kurdistan Region, Iraq)
  • Maurizio Repetto (Department of Energy “Galileo Ferraris”, Politecnico di Torino, Italy)
  • Zoltán Sári (Department of Technical Informatics, Institute of Information and Electrical Technology, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Pécs, Hungary)
  • Grzegorz Sierpiński (Department of Transport Systems and Traffic Engineering, Faculty of Transport, Silesian University of Technology, Katowice, Poland)
  • Zoltán Siménfalvi (Institute of Energy and Chemical Machinery, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Informatics, University of Miskolc, Hungary)
  • Andrej Šoltész (Department of Hydrology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Slovak University of Technology in Bratislava, Slovakia)
  • Zsolt Szabó (Faculty of Information Technology and Bionics, Pázmány Péter Catholic University, Hungary)
  • Mykola Sysyn (Chair of Planning and Design of Railway Infrastructure, Institute of Railway Systems and Public Transport, Technical University of Dresden, Germany)
  • András Timár (Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Pécs, Hungary)
  • Barry H. V. Topping (Heriot-Watt University, UK, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Pécs, Hungary)

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2021  
Web of Science  
Total Cites
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Scimago  
Scimago
H-index
12
Scimago
Journal Rank
0,26
Scimago Quartile Score Civil and Structural Engineering (Q3)
Materials Science (miscellaneous) (Q3)
Computer Science Applications (Q4)
Modeling and Simulation (Q4)
Software (Q4)
Scopus  
Scopus
Cite Score
1,5
Scopus
CIte Score Rank
Civil and Structural Engineering 232/326 (Q3)
Computer Science Applications 536/747 (Q3)
General Materials Science 329/455 (Q3)
Modeling and Simulation 228/303 (Q4)
Software 326/398 (Q4)
Scopus
SNIP
0,613

2020  
Scimago
H-index
11
Scimago
Journal Rank
0,257
Scimago
Quartile Score
Civil and Structural Engineering Q3
Computer Science Applications Q3
Materials Science (miscellaneous) Q3
Modeling and Simulation Q3
Software Q3
Scopus
Cite Score
340/243=1,4
Scopus
Cite Score Rank
Civil and Structural Engineering 219/318 (Q3)
Computer Science Applications 487/693 (Q3)
General Materials Science 316/455 (Q3)
Modeling and Simulation 217/290 (Q4)
Software 307/389 (Q4)
Scopus
SNIP
1,09
Scopus
Cites
321
Scopus
Documents
67
Days from submission to acceptance 136
Days from acceptance to publication 239
Acceptance
Rate
48%

 

2019  
Scimago
H-index
10
Scimago
Journal Rank
0,262
Scimago
Quartile Score
Civil and Structural Engineering Q3
Computer Science Applications Q3
Materials Science (miscellaneous) Q3
Modeling and Simulation Q3
Software Q3
Scopus
Cite Score
269/220=1,2
Scopus
Cite Score Rank
Civil and Structural Engineering 206/310 (Q3)
Computer Science Applications 445/636 (Q3)
General Materials Science 295/460 (Q3)
Modeling and Simulation 212/274 (Q4)
Software 304/373 (Q4)
Scopus
SNIP
0,933
Scopus
Cites
290
Scopus
Documents
68
Acceptance
Rate
67%

 

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Pollack Periodica
Language English
Size A4
Year of
Foundation
2006
Volumes
per Year
1
Issues
per Year
3
Founder Akadémiai Kiadó
Founder's
Address
H-1117 Budapest, Hungary 1516 Budapest, PO Box 245.
Publisher Akadémiai Kiadó
Publisher's
Address
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Publisher
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ISSN 1788-1994 (Print)
ISSN 1788-3911 (Online)

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