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Business and Economics
Abstract
Although the Feldstein-Horioka (1980) puzzle has been one of the most widely discussed problems in macroeconomics literature, long-run evidence regarding the validity of the Puzzle is missing. To extend the existing literature, we revisit the Puzzle for the case of the United Kingdom (UK) using data that covers almost two centuries, 1830–2016. We analyze the data using conventional and novel econometric methods to capture the stochastic properties of the variables and ensure robustness. To this end, well-known autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and recently developed nonlinear ARDL and Fourier ARDL (FARDL) models are implemented. The coefficients derived from the ARDL, NARDL, and FARDL are 0.58, 0.64, and 0.56, respectively. All results show a long-term relationship between investment and savings rates in the UK. The obtained empirical results indicate that even in the long run, there is evidence for the existence of the Puzzle.
Abstract
The paper decomposes the real and nominal exchange rate volatility using the component GARCH specification to examine their impact on foreign direct investment (FDI) in 23 transition economies at aggregated and disaggregated levels. The paper employs instrumental variables within the SYS-GMM estimation procedure to provide the results' reliability and consistency. According to the results, the impact of long-run real exchange rate volatility on FDI differs among economic activities. These findings may be explained by the fact that the key motives of foreign investors entering the manufacturing sector will likely differ from those of foreign investors entering the financial intermediation or transport and communication sector. On the other hand, the short-run real exchange rate volatility and the long- and short-run nominal exchange rate volatility are not significant determinants of FDI in the transition economies covering the period from 2000 to 2023.