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  • Author or Editor: László Orlóci x
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This Essay is response to the general question that I put to myself: How should I, an outsider to the topic, go about rationalising the notion of pattern and its dynamics when the pattern objects come from the vegetation? To facilitate succinct discussion of a very broad and intertwined topic, the Essay breaks down the pattern paradigm into three parts. The first part is concerned with the conceptual universe defined by the pattern objects, scale dependences, and order-chaos convolutions. The second part deals with the description of pattern and its evolution through time. The third, in the manner of a number of short comments, takes up pattern epidemiology, the Art of revealing cause and effect, extent, and significance.

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I use “prospects” to connote the continuing subversion of the environment. “Expectations” refer to what I think Statistics should be making of itself in the era of global change science. I develop thoughts on these in three main sections. In the first, I recount up-to-date information about global warming. This topic is intriguing to me, since global warming is potentially the most subversive environmental process, appears least preventable, and as such, most deserving to be a focal point in ecological study scenarios. In the second section, I discuss briefly the ecological agenda and the implications therein for definition of the sampling environment. The third and last large section explains how I think of what should constitute an applicable statistical dialect for users in global change science. I detail the basic principles, enumerate choices, and deal with other bare necessities upon which such a Statistics should be founded.

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